- Ethical wealth creation is way forward: Economic Survey“Given India’s stage of development, India must continue to focus on economic growth to lift the poor out of poverty by expanding the overall pie,” the Survey said. This, it said, will enable redistribution since economic growth and inequality converge in terms of their effects on socio-economic indicators in India.
- Economic Survey 2020-21 decoded for youIndia's economy is likely to grow by 11 per cent in the fiscal year beginning April 1 as a vaccine drive and rebound in consumer demand help it emerge from the carnage inflicted by a strict coronavirus lockdown, the Economic Survey said. The rebound will follow an estimated 7.7 per cent contraction in the GDP in the current financial year ending March 31, the annual document said. Tune in as ET Now consulting editor Mythili Bhusnurmath decodes key points and recommendations made in the Economic Survey of India 2020-21, tabled in Parliament by FM Nirmala Sitharaman on Friday. (Text: PTI)Economic Survey 2020-21 decoded for you
- India's agricultural export grows: Economic SurveyAgri-exports touched Rs 2.52 lakh crores and imports at Rs 1.47 lakh crores in financial year 2019-20, the survey said. India occupies a leading position in global trade of agricultural products. However, its total agricultural export basket accounts for a little over 2.5 percent of world agricultural trade. The major export destinations were USA, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Nepal, and Bangladesh.
- IBC has changed lender-borrower dynamics: Economic Survey"The inevitable consequence of a resolution process(the control and management of the firm move away from existing promoters and managers, most probably, forever) deters the management and promoter of the firm from operating below the optimum level of efficiency. Further, it encourages the debtors to settle default expeditiously with the creditor at the earliest, preferably outside the code," the survey said.
- Economic Survey points out the original sin that caused India's banking crisisSevere under-capitalisation of Indian banks was the inevitable outcome of prolonged forbearance. This triggered a distortion in bank's potential incentives, eventually emboldening them to indulge in risky lending. Such twisted incentives made banks go wrong on calculations, and as an end result, the quality of investment in the economy suffered badly.
- Economic Survey: What to expect from today's budget season openerThis year's economic survey assumes a much higher significance in view of the unprecedented manner in which 2020 played out. From hitting a multi-decade GDP trough in Q1 to making a noticeable recovery in the quarter that followed, the Indian economy has been in an extremely fluid state in all through 2020-21.
- View: Economic Survey lays out the intellectual foundations of India’s Covid responseThe Survey, therefore, explains India’s ‘barbell’ strategy that combined hedging against worst-case outcomes, on the one hand, with step-by-step responses driven by a Bayesian updating of information on the other. It shows how policies were targeted and sequenced in ways that would maximise bang for the buck.
- Calibrated response to deal with pandemic leaves room for more fiscal measures: Economic SurveyIn order to facilitate a resilient recovery of the economy from the impact of COVID-19 pandemic and the following lockdown, Government of India and RBI together announced a total stimulus worth Rs 29.87 lakh crore, which is 15 per cent of national GDP. Out of this, stimulus worth 9 per cent of GDP has been provided by the government under Aatma Nirbhar Bharat Package.
- Health outcomes of states that adopted PM-JAY improved compared to those who didn't: Economic SurveyStates that adopted the PM-JAY experienced greater penetration of health insurance and a reduction in infant and child mortality rates, as well as realised improved access and utilisation of family planning services, and greater awareness about HIV/AIDS, it added.
- Economic Survey 2020-21: V-shaped recovery due to timely and stringent lockdown, says CEA KV SubramanianIndia's timely and stringent lockdown to curb the spread of Covid-19 pandemic led to the 'V'-shaped economic recovery, said the Economic Survey 2020-21. The Economic Survey 2021 has forecast India's economy to contract 7.7% in 2020-21, before witnessing a sharp recovery of 10-12% in 2021-22. It is expected that the economy grows at its trend growth rate of 6.5% in 2022-23 and 7% in 2023-24 aided by structural reforms. CEA Krishnamurthy Subramanian highlighted the key highlights of Economic Survey. Watch.Economic Survey 2020-21: V-shaped recovery due to timely and stringent lockdown, says CEA KV Subramanian
- Economic Survey: Milk production rises by five percent to 198.4 million tonnes in 2019-20“Milk production in the country has increased from 146.3 million tonnes in 2014-15 to 198.4 million tonnes in 2019-20,” the survey said. Compared to 2018-19, it has increased by 5.70 percent according to the government data.
- Economic Survey drops a hint if Budget will bring Covid cess, tax on ultra-HNIsWhile the government and much of the formal sector maintain that the domestic economy is seeing a V-shaped recovery post the national lockdown to contain the Covid-19 cases in April-May, the true shape of the recovery has been rather ‘K-shaped’.
- RBI should identify when to roll back forbearance extended to banks: Economic SurveyThe first lesson for policymakers is to treat emergency measures as such and not to extend them even after recovery: when an emergency medicine becomes a staple diet, it can be counterproductive,” the survey stated.
- Should you take home loan from public or private sector bank? Economic Survey has an answerDuring the period between February 2019 and November 2020, public sector banks have passed on 0.94% as compared to 0.54% passed on by the private sector banks on outstanding loans. During the same period, in case of fresh loans, public sector banks reduced the rates by 1.51% and private sector banks reduced the interest rates by 1.76%.
- Economic Survey: Don't turn medicine into staple diet, end loan forbearance ASAP“The first lesson for policymakers is to treat emergency measures as such and not to extend them even after recovery: when an emergency medicine becomes a staple diet, it can be counterproductive,” the survey said.
- Sensex tanks 589 points as Economic Survey fails to cheer investors; Nifty ends below 13,650CLOSING BELL: Sensex tanks 589 points as Economic Survey fails to cheer investors; Nifty ends below 13,650; DRL, Maruti plunge 5% eachSensex tanks 589 points as Economic Survey fails to cheer investors; Nifty ends below 13,650
- Economic Survey takes Moody’s, S&P head on, accuses them of biasThe survey prepared by Chief Economic Adviser Dr KV Subramanian said the current sovereign rating of India does not truly reflect its fundamentals.
- Economic Survey 2020-21: Enhanced trade facilitation a priority to make exports more competitiveStressing the significance of a resilient logistics sector especially in the backdrop of the Covid-19 pandemic, the Survey noted how such resilience could go a long way in responding to emergencies and supply chain disruptions.
- Strengthening production and post production measures needed to double farmers income: Economic surveyThe survey said that adequate storage and remunerative markets for agricultural products should be the main focus of post-production management.
- Economic Survey: India needs to up its gross expenditure on R&D from 0.7% to 2% of GDPThe survey mentioned that the tax incentive structure introduced earlier to boost R&D did not generate the expected level of private participation in GERD in India.
- Economic Survey slams Credit Rating Agencies, says they do not reflect India's economic fundamentalsThe Survey questioned the sovereign credit ratings and stated that these do not capture correctly the strong economic fundamentals of India.
- Economic Survey 2021: India’s V-shape recovery supported by vaccine drive"Together, prospects for robust growth in consumption and investment have been rekindled, with estimated real GDP growth for FY2021-22 pegged at 11 per cent,” the survey noted.
- Economic Survey 2020-21: Drastic reduction in compliances with 41 central labour laws reduced to fourLast year was a particularly tough time for the MSME sector which faced an acute financial crunch and shuttered businesses amid the virus outbreak.
- FM Sitharaman tables Economic Survey 2020-21 in Lok Sabha, FY22 GDP growth projected at 11%Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman tabled the Economic Survey 2020-21 in the Lok Sabha following which the house was adjourned. Today's Survey holds significance as the economy begins to recover from the pandemic-hit year. According to the survey, GDP growth for the next financial year (FY2021-22) is seen to be 11%.FM Sitharaman tables Economic Survey 2020-21 in Lok Sabha, FY22 GDP growth projected at 11%
- No rise in food grain prices for poor covered under NFSA: Piyush GoyalThe Economic Survey said that as the food subsidy bill is “becoming unmanageably large” and while it is difficult to reduce the economic cost of food management in view of rising commitment towards food security, there is a need to consider the revision of central issue price (CIP) to reduce the bulging food subsidy bill.
- India's high priority for now should be to grow at 7-8 pc: Former RBI guv JalanAsked whether India will be able to achieve a USD 5-trillion economy target by 2024-25, he said, "We are in 2021. So, four years are there and as of now, it does not seem that we will be able to reach that target."
- Fiscal policy must be counter-cyclical: Krishnamurthy Subramanian, CEAIt’s quite likely that fiscal deficit will be lower than what’s mentioned. When you under-promise and over-deliver, it generates enormous credibility, says Krishnamurthy Subramanian.
- A deep dive being done to find out true state of NPAsResponding to a question on whether an asset quality review (AQR) was imperative at this juncture, Das said the regulator’s supervisory process was already conducting an AQR-like assessment.
- RBI conducting independent assessment of true NPA picture: Governor Shaktikanta DasThe Economic Survey had last week called for another round of asset quality review when the Covid related forbearance is lifted. The survey stated that it was important for the Reserve Bank of India to do a complete clean-up exercise of bank balance sheets after granting every regulatory forbearance.
- Saving lives came first: Economic Survey establishes how India’s lockdown controlled Covid and will help in a V-shaped recoveryThe response drew on epidemiological and economic research, especially those pertaining to the Spanish Flu, which highlighted that an early, intense lockdown provided a win-win strategy to save lives, and preserve livelihoods via economic recovery in the medium to long term.
- Budget gives startups a long rope, extends tax holiday, exemptions limitsAs of the last week of December, there were 41,061 govt-recognised startups in India. Of this, over 39,000 startups account for 4,70,000 jobs, according to this year's Economic Survey.
- Government mops up Rs 19,499 crore from CPSE disinvestment, buyback so far in FY21FM Nirmala Sitharaman had in her budget for 2020-21 set a target of raising Rs 2.1 lakh crore from privatisation, sale of minority stakes in state-owned companies and share buyback by CPSEs. While Rs 1.20 lakh crore was to come from stake sale in CPSEs, Rs 90,000 crore was to be mopped up from share sale in financial institutions.
- CEA Subramanian pitches for private sector-led bad bank to deal with NPAsEarlier this month, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das indicated that the central bank can consider the idea of a bad bank to tackle non-performing assets (NPAs). "If there's a proposal to set up a bad bank, the RBI will look at it. We have regulatory guidelines for asset reconstruction companies," Das had said.
- Venkaiah Naidu holds meeting with political leaders ahead of Union Budget 2021Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman will present the budget for the financial year 2020-21 on Monday. Her speech is expected to begin at 11 AM IST in Lok Sabha.
- With fiscal support, growth will be 6.5-7.5% by FY23: CEAAsked about the timing for pulling back the stimulus, he said the Economic Survey had clearly stated fiscal support should continue till the country returned to the pre-pandemic growth path.
- India needs to make efforts to get rating upgrade in line with fundamentals: CEAThe Economic Survey presented in Parliament on Friday expressed concern over lower sovereign rating assigned by agencies like Fitch, S&P and Moody's to India despite its strong economic fundamentals.
- Revival of animal spirits with 11% growth rate next fiscal year: CEA SubramanianThe Economic Survey 2020-21 presented in Parliament on Friday expects the growth rate to rebound sharply from an estimated record contraction of 7.7 per cent in the current financial year on account of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Putting changes in perspectiveCovid-related relaxations gave a boost to NPS. Contribution under NPS grew over 30% with assets under management at Rs 4.94 lakh crore as on September 30, 2020, as compared to Rs 3.71 lakh crore a year ago.
- Growth Gyaan: Tips on raising women’s participation in workforce, and how digitization may reduce inequalities in educationBesides, non-discriminatory practices at the workplace like pay and career progression are needed to help draw more females to join the labour force. Female labour force participation stood at 26.5% in 2018-19 compared to 80.3% for males.
- Recovery play: Economy will take two years to surpass pre-pandemic levelsFollowing a strong 10-12% rebound in FY22, survey looks ahead assuming a 6.5% rise in FY23 and 7% GDP growth in FY24
- India’s economic recovery like cricket team’s performance down under: CEAIndia’s V-shaped recovery was like the Indian cricket team’s performance in Australia which bounced from an all-time low score of 36 runs to clinch the four-match Test series 2-1.
- Fiscal push or reforms: What should it be? Fine print holds cluesImportantly, and perhaps more so after the pandemic, it calls for increasing investment in health infrastructure, by boosting public spending from 1% of GDP currently to 2.5-3.0% of GDP, along with the setting up of a sectoral regulator in light of the market failures due to information asymmetry.
- Staying on track amid a pandemic, says Economic Adviser Rajiv MishraThe SOE describes the policy dilemma of lives versus livelihoods faced globally at the beginning of the pandemic forcing countries to choose between the two. Deploying the containment strategy India initially chose lives but soon enough livelihoods as well once the system to handle the pandemic was in place to hasten the unlocking of the economy.
- IBC has changed debtor-creditor dynamicsThe Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code has hence brought about significant behavioural changes among the creditors and debtors thereby redefining debtor-creditor relationship.
- View: Survey bats for countercyclical fiscal policyFor all the hardships that year 2020 had, the Economic Survey 2020-21 is mostly on expected lines. The Part II of the Survey presents the economic assessment of the year 2020-21.
- All hands need to be on deck to shake off effects of Covid-19: Sajjid Z Chinoy, JP MorganFiscal deficits will bulge all over the world, with the IMF forecasting emerging market deficits more than doubling from below 5% of GDP pre-Covid to above 10% of GDP in 2020.
- Gap between resource availability, requirement pose challenge in NDC implementation: Eco SurveyIn the NDC, the country has also sought to achieve 40 per cent of cumulative electric power installed capacity from non-fossil fuel sources by 2030.
- Eco Survey captures India's fight against COVID-19, its strong economic fundamentals: PM ModiIt emphasises on the huge potential for economic growth, the importance of further scaling up innovation and the way ahead in key areas like health, he said in a tweet.
- Expenditure on social services rises 12% to Rs 17 lakh crore in FY21: Eco Survey"Social services include, education, sports, art and culture; medical and public health, family welfare, water supply and sanitation; housing, urban development, welfare of SCs, STs and OBCs, labour and labour welfare, social security and welfare, nutrition, relief on account of natural calamities etc," the Survey for the financial year ending March 31, 2021, said.
- Administrative process suffers from over-regulation: Eco SurveyThe solution is to simplify regulations and invest in greater supervision which, by definition, implies willingness to allow some discretion.
- 50 million trees by 2030 for green cover towards clean coal initiative: Eco SurveyUnder the initiative about 54,500 hectare land has been brought under green cover by planting 132 million trees, the Survey for 2020-21 laid in Parliament said.
- Improved monetary policy transmission brings down interest rate for borrowers: SurveyDue to the pandemic, initiation of corporate insolvency resolution process (CIRP) was suspended for any default and the suspension along with continued clearance has allowed a small decline in accumulated cases.
- India only country among emerging markets to receive equity FPI inflows in 2020: Eco SurveyNet inflows from foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) recorded an all-time monthly high of USD 9.8 billion in November 2020, as investors' risk appetite returned.
- Rising Bangladesh exports hold lessons for India: Eco SurveyBangladesh's share in world exports has increased from 0.1 per cent in 2011 to 0.3 per cent in 2019. The top five export commodities (from labour intensive sectors such as textiles, apparels and footwear) account for more than 90 per cent of the total exports of Bangladesh since 2015.
- We are still below pre Covid levels but low base giving us a big boost: Abheek BaruaThanks to the low base numbers, we are likely to see fabulous numbers, both for real GDP as well as nominal GDP for next year.
- How did your Thali price fare during the pandemic period?As per the Economic Survey, Thali prices for both vegetarian and non-vegetarian Thalis declined significantly in January-March 2020 before rising sharply during April to November in both rural and urban areas before easing in December 2020.
- Vocational courses to be rolled out for skill development of school students: Eco SurveyThe Survey for the financial year ending March said merely 2.4 per cent of India's workforce in the age group of 15-59 years have received formal vocational or technical training, while another 8.9 per cent obtained training through informal sources.